Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.000115 0.000127 0.000139 0.000153 0.000168 0.000185 0.000204
2025-11-16 0.000091 0.000108 0.000126 0.000149 0.000177 0.000210 0.000252
2025-11-23 0.000076 0.000094 0.000116 0.000145 0.000183 0.000230 0.000294
2025-11-30 0.000068 0.000088 0.000113 0.000148 0.000195 0.000257 0.000348
2025-12-07 0.000062 0.000083 0.000111 0.000150 0.000207 0.000285 0.000405
2025-12-14 0.000056 0.000076 0.000105 0.000147 0.000210 0.000301 0.000446
2025-12-21 0.000050 0.000070 0.000098 0.000142 0.000209 0.000310 0.000477
2025-12-28 0.000046 0.000066 0.000096 0.000143 0.000216 0.000332 0.000531
2026-01-04 0.000043 0.000064 0.000094 0.000144 0.000224 0.000355 0.000589
2026-01-11 0.000040 0.000060 0.000091 0.000142 0.000227 0.000369 0.000634
2026-01-18 0.000038 0.000058 0.000089 0.000142 0.000234 0.000392 0.000696
2026-01-25 0.000035 0.000055 0.000086 0.000140 0.000236 0.000405 0.000741
2026-02-01 0.000033 0.000052 0.000083 0.000139 0.000241 0.000425 0.000806
2026-02-08 0.000031 0.000049 0.000080 0.000137 0.000243 0.000441 0.000865
2026-02-15 0.000028 0.000046 0.000077 0.000134 0.000242 0.000452 0.000915
2026-02-22 0.000027 0.000045 0.000076 0.000136 0.000252 0.000484 0.001014
2026-03-01 0.000026 0.000044 0.000076 0.000138 0.000263 0.000520 0.001129
2026-03-08 0.000024 0.000042 0.000073 0.000135 0.000264 0.000533 0.001194
2026-03-15 0.000023 0.000039 0.000069 0.000131 0.000259 0.000535 0.001231
2026-03-22 0.000022 0.000038 0.000068 0.000131 0.000266 0.000563 0.001338
2026-03-29 0.000021 0.000037 0.000068 0.000132 0.000274 0.000594 0.001456
2026-04-05 0.000020 0.000036 0.000066 0.000130 0.000275 0.000610 0.001540
2026-04-12 0.000019 0.000035 0.000065 0.000131 0.000282 0.000641 0.001667